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Beware of the Crypto Mirage

Written by Dr Steve Garth | 23 September 2025 2:30:02 AM

Cryptocurrency has evolved from a fringe technological experiment into a mainstream financial asset. With the introduction of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that track the price of digital currencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum, many investors are being drawn to crypto through more familiar investment vehicles. However, despite increasing accessibility, the question remains: should Financial Advisers recommend crypto ETFs to their clients?

 

 

Should Financial Advisers recommend crypto ETFs to their clients

There are several compelling reasons why a prudent, fiduciary-minded Financial Adviser should avoid recommending cryptocurrency ETFs as part of a long-term investment strategy. These reasons span concerns around volatility, valuation, regulatory uncertainty, lack of intrinsic value, concentration risk, client suitability, and overall alignment with core principles of sound financial planning.

Perhaps the most immediate and glaring issue with crypto ETFs is the extreme volatility of the underlying assets.

Cryptocurrencies are notoriously unstable, with price swings of 10% or more in a single day not uncommon. For example, Bitcoin has seen multiple drawdowns of over 70% in its short history. In traditional markets, such levels of volatility would be indicative of crisis conditions. For cryptocurrencies, they are par for the course.

Furthermore, crypto has a zero expected return – in other words, cryptocurrencies have no intrinsic value.

Unlike shares in a company, which represent ownership in a business that generates profits, or bonds, which pay interest and return principal, cryptocurrencies lack intrinsic cash flows. They do not produce income, earnings, or dividends. Their value is determined almost entirely by speculative demand and investor sentiment.

This is not to downplay the extraordinary actual return of Bitcoin, the best-known cryptocurrency. As the chart below shows over the last 10 years Bitcoin has risen from around USD 250 to close to USD 116,000 today.

That kind of appreciation is a once in a lifetime phenomenon – but there is nothing to say that the price of Bitcoin will continue to rise, or that a crypto ETF (which typically holds a basket of cryptocurrencies, some well-known known and some not so well known) will do well in the future. Keep in mind that 10 years of data is actually a short track record.

The cryptocurrency market is barely over a decade old, and the first crypto ETFs have only recently launched. There is insufficient long-term historical data to confidently assess how crypto assets behave across full market cycles, economic recessions, or rising interest rate environments. While historical performance of crypto has been extraordinary, it is also erratic and heavily influenced by macro liquidity conditions, investor euphoria, and other non-fundamental factors.

There is also much regulatory uncertainty.

Despite recent regulatory approvals for spot Bitcoin ETFs in some jurisdictions, the broader regulatory environment for crypto remains unsettled and ambiguous. The result is a highly uncertain legal environment. Future regulatory action could impose new restrictions, alter market dynamics, or severely curtail the operation of crypto ETFs.

Most Financial Advisers operate under an evidence-based investment philosophy, which emphasizes diversification, cost minimization, and long-term compounding using academically grounded strategies.

Crypto ETFs conflict with nearly every one of these principles:

  • They are not diversified: Many are concentrated in a single asset (e.g., Bitcoin) or sector (crypto mining).

  • They are relatively expensive: Crypto ETF expense ratios can be significantly higher than index funds or ETFs that track broad markets.

  • They offer no reliable long-term return profile: Unlike equities or bonds, they lack yield or earnings growth.

  • They add speculative risk: Volatility and correlation behaviors are not well understood.

 

Advisors who recommend crypto ETFs must explain how such recommendations align with a disciplined, evidence-based approach. In most cases, they simply do not.

The role of a Financial Adviser is not to chase trends, validate hype, or offer access to every flashy new asset.

It is to steward clients’ wealth with wisdom, discipline, and integrity. Good financial advice is grounded in understanding the client’s goals, time horizon, and risk appetite. For the vast majority of retail investors, cryptocurrency ETFs are fundamentally misaligned with these parameters.

Crypto ETFs, while increasingly popular, fail to meet the standard of a prudent, client-aligned investment.

They introduce excessive volatility, offer no intrinsic value, are vulnerable to regulatory shifts, and often appeal to emotion rather than reason. For these reasons and more, cryptocurrency ETFs are not appropriate for those investors with long-term goals, moderate risk tolerance, and a desire for financial peace of mind.

Financial Advisers are trusted guides for their clients’ goals and values in wealth management. Being a trusted guide sometimes means telling clients what they need to hear, not what they want to hear. In the case of crypto ETFs, the right message is clear—not recommended.